Beijing has mulled invading Taiwan’s Pratas Islands but volition not equine an onslaught earlier the island’s president Tsai Ing-wen finishes her word successful 2024, a apical Taiwanese information authoritative said.
“Attacking and capturing Pratas Islands, and utilizing warfare to unit Taiwan into talks, this script successful our appraisal volition not hap during President Tsai’s tenure,” Chen Ming-tong, National Security Bureau Director-General of the self-ruling island, told lawmakers connected Nov. 4.
The Taiwan-controlled Pratas Islands, which lays astir 190 miles southeast of Hong Kong, has been peculiarly susceptible to attacks due to the fact that of its proximity to mainland China, immoderate experts person said.
“Frankly speaking, they person internally debated astir it before,” helium said. “We of people person immoderate awareness,” Chen said.
Chen, who was responding to a question from a lawmaker from the Kuomintang, Taiwan’s main absorption party, connected the chances of a Chinese onslaught portion Tsai is successful office, did not accidental however helium knew of specified deliberations.
Long described by Beijing arsenic a breakaway region, Taiwan has seen a marked escalation of Chinese subject harassment implicit the past year. Early past month, Beijing enactment the land connected alert by flying nearly 150 warplanes implicit a 4-day play into Taiwan’s defence zone, the largest amusement of unit to date.
Chen made the comments conscionable a time aft Pentagon warned astir China’s increasing atomic capabilities, which is connected way to person a five-fold summation implicit the adjacent decade.
A caller study by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology astatine Georgetown University besides recovered the Chinese subject to beryllium deploying artificial quality to simulate warfare games for a Taiwan invasion.
Gen. Mark Milley, president of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, connected Wednesday expressed the aforesaid sentiment arsenic Chen, saying that China is unlikely to prehend Taiwan by subject unit successful the adjacent future, oregon what helium defined arsenic wrong a model of “6, 12, possibly 24 months.”
“Having said that, though, the Chinese are intelligibly and unambiguously gathering the capableness to supply those options to the nationalist leadership, if they truthful choose, astatine immoderate constituent successful the future,” Milley said astatine the Aspen Security Forum. “But thing tin happen,” helium added.
The United States does not person ceremonial diplomatic ties with Taiwan, but provides subject instrumentality to the land capable for its self-defense arsenic required by the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act. Washington besides maintains a argumentation of “strategic ambiguity” towards the island, nether which it is deliberately vague connected whether it volition travel to Taiwan’s assistance if Beijing attacks.
China’s increasing atomic arsenal could springiness the authorities important vantage successful the lawsuit of a subject struggle implicit Taiwan, experts person told The Epoch Times.
“If the Chinese and Americans were to combat to a stalemate astatine a accepted level, it could beryllium plausible that whoever has atomic dominance would beryllium successful the driver’s spot for winning the war, oregon astatine slightest getting the different broadside to backmost down,” Michael O’Hanlon, a defense-focused elder fellow at Washington-based deliberation vessel Brookings Institution, said successful a erstwhile interview.
Taiwan’s defence curate has precocious warned that China would beryllium afloat susceptible to invade Taiwan by 2025.
Milley, though, said that the United States “absolutely person the capability” to support Taipei “if required.”
“There’s nary question astir that,” helium said.
Eva Fu is simply a New York-based writer for The Epoch Times focusing connected U.S.-China relations, spiritual freedom, and quality rights.
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