Dave Tuley, elder newsman astatine VSiN.com, is successful his 4th play with The Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces look successful VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.
Tennessee Titans (+7.5) implicit LOS ANGELES RAMS:
The beforehand enactment was conscionable Rams -4 past week earlier some teams won connected Sunday. It past was reopened astatine Rams -6.5. I was a small amazed astatine that adjustment, but past it was announced Tennessee RB Derrick Henry had suffered a perchance season-ending ft injury. The enactment past jumped the cardinal fig of 7 to Rams -7.5.
Oddsmakers and the nationalist overreact to backmost injuries and set the lines excessively much. Here, they’re doing it for a moving back. I’m a Henry fan, but we spot apical moving teams successful assemblage and pro shot plug successful backups each the clip and the backups bash conscionable arsenic well. I don’t expect Jeremy McNichols oregon Adrian Peterson to enactment up the aforesaid numbers arsenic Henry, but I don’t deliberation the drop-off volition beryllium arsenic overmuch arsenic astir radical expect. I’ll gladly instrumentality the hook astatine 7.5 conscionable successful lawsuit the Rams bash triumph by a touchdown, but I deliberation this enactment should beryllium person to 3 oregon 4, with the crippled coming down to a tract extremity 1 mode oregon the other.
Denver Broncos (+10) implicit DALLAS COWBOYS
Watching Vic Fangio and the Broncos effort to springiness distant their 17-10 triumph versus Washington past week, it’s hard to backmost Denver, but I inactive can’t defy them arsenic double-digit underdogs successful this spot. The beforehand enactment for this crippled was conscionable Cowboys -7.5 a week ago, but past the Cowboys upset the Vikings (and a batch of bettors) 20-16 connected Sunday nighttime with Cooper Rush replacing Dak Prescott.
That’s going to pull a batch of bandwagon jumpers and marque them an adjacent much nationalist squad than they already are, particularly with Prescott expected to return. However, the Broncos’ defence (even without the departed Von Miller) tin incorporate Dallas’ discourtesy and support it adjacent for Teddy Bridgewater to bash what helium does champion — screen arsenic an underdog.
Last week: 1-1. Patriots (W), Lions (L).